Posted by
Jason on Tuesday, July 11, 2006 11:43:32 AM
I know, I know - Hugh Hewitt doesn't like McCain as the Republican nominee. I am here to argue that McCain's maverick-ness is over-rated. Yes, there are some strikes against him:
- McCain-Feingold.
- The gang of 14 deal. From where I stand, that got us 2 pretty stellar judges on the Supreme Court without having to alienate the general public (the all important middle). I'll argue that Spector is more of a hinderance than anything McCain has done.
-The Torture Ban (which ended up being passed pretty convincingly by both houses)
-Taxes. He voted against some tax cuts, but also against the moronic prescription drug benefit.
However, in the most important issue of the day - the War on Terror - McCain would be a continuation of Bush's policies. He is conservative on most issues that the right holds dear - abortion, guns, education (vouchers), social security accounts, etc. He is arguably more conservative than Bush on spending, which is clearly out of control. Spending is something that most conservatives are most upset about. McCain can use that and his unwavering support for the Iraq war to win the conservative vote.
But, the most important reason that McCain should be embraced, not shunned by Republicans is that he can't lose the general election. From Rasmussen
yesterday:Could John McCain (R) Beat Hillary Clinton (D) in Massachusetts? The
latest Rasmussen Reports election poll in the Bay State shows McCain
wresting 44% of the vote to 43% for Clinton. The numbers are identical
for a hypothetical contest between McCain and Al Gore (D).
As
a practical matter, this very blue state probably won't run red in the
next presidential election. While a McCain-Clinton and McCain-Gore
match-ups are a toss-up, the survey also found that when asked about a
generic match between unnamed Republican and Democratic candidates, the
Democrat wins 53%-22%.
Clinton leads another Republican, Rudy Giuliani, 50% to 42%. Gore leads the former Mayor of New York 50% to 41%.
It’s
hard to think of a scarier scenario for Democrats than Massachusetts as
a toss-up state on Election Night in 2008. In 2004, John Kerry won the
state with 62% of the vote. Even George McGovern, buried under the
Nixon landslide of 1972, managed to pick up the Bay State’s Electoral
Votes.
Which is more important?
a) McCain being the nominee (although I only agree with him on 80% of issues), it's nearly a guaranteed win in the general election and continuity in the most important issue of the day.
OR
b) Someone alot further right being the nominee, and losing to Hillary or Warner (whom I only agree with on about 10% of the issues).
Let's face it, Bush isn't the most popular guy in the world right now. His public defense of his policies is - shall we say....lacking. But, McCain has been steadfast in his support for Bush even as his poll numbers were at their lowest.
McCain ensures the Republican dominance of the presidency for another 8 years and keeps Hillary out of the White House.
The funny thing is, that there are so many on the right willing to jump all over a Giuliani candidacy, even though he is far more socially liberal than McCain.
McCain is the vote for continuity.